On
the morning of Wednesday, 20 December 1905, Major General James Grierson mounted
his charger, settled his large frame
in the saddle and commenced his constitutional ride in the crisp winter air of
Hyde Park. As he trotted along Rotten Row another military figure on horseback
came into view. The dapper, almost dandified, rider whose delicate features were
accentuated by an ornate, waxed moustache was soon revealed to be Major Victor
Jacques Marie Huguet, the French Military Attaché. It was, so Grierson claimed
a few weeks later, a chance encounter. At most other times, Grierson’s word
might have been accepted; however, with Germany engaged in a periodic bout of
sabre-rattling, and with the threat of a Franco-German war over Morocco
pervading the diplomatic atmosphere, the meeting was anything but a coincidence.
Grierson, the Director of Military Operations at the War Office, had had a
brilliant career, including a spell as Military Attaché in Berlin. Untypically,
he spoke French ‘with ease and fluency,’ and, in the opinion of General Sir
John French, ‘he used to astonish French soldiers by his intimate knowledge of
the history of their regiments, which was far in excess of what they knew
themselves.’ Feeling completely at ease
in Grierson’s company, Huguet expressed the anxiety felt in Paris that Germany
may soon attack. However, when Huguet then inquired about the current British
war organization, Grierson alleged that he did no more than refer Huguet ‘to
the Army List, which shows [the war organization] and actually gives the
composition on mobilisation of a division which does not exist in peace.’
Huguet, apparently satisfied by this less than revealing answer, then inquired
if the General Staff ‘had ever considered operations in Belgium’, to which
Grierson replied that he himself had worked out such a plan of operations the
previous spring, though only as a ‘strategical exercise’. And that,
maintained Grierson, to the best of his recollection, ‘was all that passed
between us’.
Grierson’s memory, which also put
the date of the chance meeting ‘about the 16th or 18th
December’, was conveniently faulty. As the French reports show, the Wednesday
encounter was the first of two
meetings and, far from simply referring Huguet to the Army List, Grierson in
fact confirmed that up to 120,000 British troops would be available for
Continental operations, although the force lacked the most up-to-date field
artillery. Grierson also dismissed the Admiralty’s proposed plan of operations
in the region of Schleswig-Holstein in the event of war as ridiculous.
Encouraged by what he had heard, Huguet arranged to meet Grierson on the
following day. At this subsequent meeting Grierson, effusive and indiscreet in
equal measure, informed Huguet of the latest General Staff study which envisaged
reinforcing the available British force with two divisions currently serving in
the Mediterranean. Tactically, Grierson favoured operating in Belgium; however,
when pressed, he admitted that the British force could
land at Calais where it would ‘unite with the French forces, of whom it would,
for example, form the left wing.’
Grierson then added a cautionary provision, which would become a familiar litany
to the French: the General Staff deliberations should not be interpreted as
prejudicing the decision which the British Government might take at any given
moment.
This
exchange was neatly to encapsulate the sorry history of Anglo-French naval and
military planning during the following eight years. Plans — detailed plans —
could be formulated; plans which would allow of no last-minute tinkering, and of
no last-minute faint-heartedness. But these plans were not to be put into operation until a political decision had been
made. Events on the battlefield would have to await Cabinet deliberations in
London. However, with the lack of overt Cabinet scrutiny before the war (neither
the Foreign Secretary, Sir Edward Grey, nor the pre-war Liberal Prime Ministers,
Campbell-Bannerman and Asquith, showed any interest in considerations of
strategy) assumptions tended to be made — assumptions which could never be
admitted. It was assumed by the General Staff that the British Army would
operate in Northern France or Belgium; but this could never be admitted. It was
assumed that, if the British withdrew their battleships from the Mediterranean
at the same time as the France transferred theirs into the Mediterranean, that
France would undertake to guard British interests in return for an implied
guarantee of her Northern Coasts; but this could never be admitted. It was
assumed that, so long as France was not the aggressor, British support would be
forthcoming in a Continental War; but this could never be admitted. No wonder
Grierson’s memory failed him.
This need to disguise the actual
extent of Anglo-French military and naval co-operation would be evident
throughout the pre-war period. As a result of Grierson’s activities (and a
simultaneous, though independent, series of meetings instigated by the Secretary
of the Committee of Imperial Defence) Grey, the incoming Foreign Secretary
following the fall of the Conservative administration, acquiesced in January
1906 in the commencement of officially recognized though informal Anglo-French
staff talks. It has always been accepted that Grey then left the military and
the naval planners to get on, with a minimum of political interference; this was
simply accomplished by virtue of Grey’s own lack of interest and by his
deliberate action in not informing the majority of his Cabinet colleagues that
the secret talks had commenced. Such an interpretation has been emphasized by
Grey’s own comments. When, in April 1911, to protect his own position Grey was
forced to acknowledge that the ‘military experts then convened [in January
1906]’, he added, ‘What they settled I never knew’.
There is evidence, however, that, in so far as military planning was
concerned, Grey knew more of what was being decided than he admitted to (with
regard to naval planning Grey’s genuine ignorance was more a product of the
fact that there was no naval planning
to speak of, merely a succession of half-baked schemes).
While Grierson and subsequent
Directors of Military Operations, particularly Sir Henry Wilson, further
integrated military strategy with their French counterparts, despite the
official go-ahead from Grey in January 1906, Anglo-French naval co-ordination
and strategic planning remained chaotic. The blame for this can be placed
squarely at the door of that most colourful of First Sea Lords, Sir John
Arbuthnot Fisher. An abysmal strategist and a born centralizer, Fisher’s
undoubted gifts in other areas were balanced by his refusal to countenance the
formation of a naval war staff. Similarly, the saga of joint war planning by the
Admiralty and War Office from 1905 till 1914 exhibits a depressingly marked
failure to co-operate. In the early years of the century, while the Army was
tarnished by its performance in the Boer War, the Navy, overwhelmingly strong
and with no threat yet to appear on the horizon, held sway in the nascent
Defence Committee. Within a few years the position was reversed. While the War
Office adapted to new realities, the Admiralty under Fisher remained locked into
a narrow range of strategic options whose common denominator was their
impractical, if not suicidal, nature.
During 1905 the Admiralty and War Office could not agree on a joint plan of
operations in a future war. When the War Office version prevailed, Fisher took
his bat home. Then, in 1908, he thoroughly confused the French with his
invitation for them to assume overall control in the Mediterranean. Fisher’s
excesses resulted in his opinions being discarded, even when he had a legitimate
grievance: ‘Are we or are we not going to send a British Army to fight on the
Continent as quite distinct and apart from coastal raids and seizures of
islands, etcetera, which the Navy dominate?’ he complained in 1909. The
accusation was a valid one; it went unanswered just the same.
Unfortunately, Fisher’s faults were also evident in his successor, Admiral Sir
Arthur Wilson.
So
long as the German challenge remained a threat on paper (and Fisher was
fortunate that the launch of Dreadnought
severely disrupted the German ship-building programme) there could be no real
winner between the Admiralty and General Staff whenever strategic options were
debated, although greater weight was given to the General Staff appraisal. By
1910, with Fisher’s departure and the German naval programme now a reality, it
had come to a showdown. With the coming of the next major crisis, the Admirals
and the Generals would have to fight it out until one of them won. The date for
the bout was 23 August 1911; the setting, a meeting of the Committee of Imperial
Defence to which only the inner core of the Cabinet were invited. Both
protagonists were called Wilson — General Sir Henry Wilson and Admiral Sir
Arthur Wilson. There the similarity ended. The one fluent, confident, a master
of his brief with a detailed and convincing answer for every question; the other
hesitant, inarticulate, unsure of himself in cross-examination. By the time the
meeting had finished late that afternoon the naval view of how a future war
would be fought had been comprehensively demolished. Admiral Wilson had gone
down for the count. From that moment onward, despite some Cabinet ructions by
the Radical wing of the Liberal party, tacit approval was given to the scheme by
which a minimum of four of the six regular divisions of the British Army would
operate on the left wing of the French Army. Subsequently, any proper discussion
of the momentous new strategy would become submerged in the minutiae of troop
movements, railway timetables, shipping requirements. The Continental
commitment, for that was what it was, like the debates in the first winter of
the war leading to the Dardanelles Campaign, had developed a momentum of its
own. Grey acknowledged his powerlessness to control the situation: it ‘would
create consternation’, he declared soon after the C.I.D. meeting, ‘if we
forbade our military experts to converse with the French. No doubt these
conversations and our speeches have given an expectation of support. I do not
see how that can be helped.’
Nevertheless, it remains the case that the Continental policy, committing
British troops to fight in Europe, was decided upon in August 1911 by a small
inner circle of the Cabinet who knew precisely what it would entail.
Another
signpost on the road to war was Churchill’s transfer to the Admiralty late in
1911. In response to the proposed new German Navy Law, one of Churchill’s
first acts after settling in to the position he coveted was to propose, in
February 1912, the withdrawal of the Mediterranean battleships. The German
initiative had, in Churchill’s view, rendered ‘the formation of an
additional Battle Squadron in Home waters necessary. We cannot afford to keep
fully commissioned battleships abroad during these years of tension,’
Churchill argued, as the first days of war ‘would require the maximum
immediate development of naval power in the North Sea and the Channel.’
The proposal by the new First Lord of the Admiralty was a further indication of
British naval overstretch in the face of new challenges and proof of Admiral Sir
John Fisher’s dictum, that ‘We cannot have everything or be strong
everywhere’. With the German building programme continuing apace, and with
dreadnoughts being constructed in Italy and Austria-Hungary, British command of
the Mediterranean could not be guaranteed by the force of elderly battleships
stationed at Malta in 1912. The French meanwhile realized that their original
plan, to base the main part of their fleet on the Atlantic coast so as the
defeat Germany first before then entering the Mediterranean was no longer
tenable. They could, naturally, have reacted to altered strategic conditions by
unilaterally moving their fleet into the Mediterranean; much better, however, if
the move could be made at such a time that it appeared contingent upon the
planned British withdrawal of the Mediterranean.
Although
Churchill’s initial scheme, to denude the Mediterranean almost completely, was
over-ruled and a compromise force of British battle-cruisers was to be stationed
at Malta from 1912, it was still open to the French to argue, as they did
successfully in 1914, that the transfer of their battle squadrons was dependent
upon the British evacuation and would not have been taken without the
presumption of British assistance to protect the now denuded Atlantic and
Channel coasts of France. In London the Cabinet fought against this presumption.
As Churchill continually insisted, ‘The present [naval] dispositions represent
the best arrangements that either power can make independently. It is not true
that the French are occupying the Mediterranean to oblige us. They cannot be
effective in both theatres and they resolve to be supreme in one.’ Ultimately, this battle
of words was lost. Semantics had been overtaken by reality. The situation
created by the German, Italian and Austro-Hungarian naval programmes, and the
failure to reach an accommodation with Berlin over the limitation of warship
building, gave Britain no option other than to denude the Mediterranean. And
this, despite the specific injunction contained in the exchange of letters
between Grey and Paul Cambon, the French Ambassador, in November 1912, was
generally regarded as part of a reciprocal arrangement with the French.
The
heat which had built up during Sunday 2 August 1914 succeeded eventually in
setting off a series of heavy downpours, one of which resulted in breaking up
the meeting of Socialists in Trafalgar Square. The cause for which they had
congregated was already a lost one. Earlier that afternoon, the Foreign
Secretary had informed Paul Cambon, of the decision which had just been arrived
at by, or rather, had been forced upon, the British Cabinet after days of
rancorous debate. Despite not yet being at war with Germany, Grey declared that
if the German fleet ‘came into the Channel or entered the North Sea … with
the object of attacking the French coasts or the French navy and of harassing
French merchant shipping, the British fleet would intervene … in such a way
that from that moment Great Britain and Germany would be in a state of war.’
It was to be Grey’s defence, both at the time and after, that this assurance,
‘did not bind us to go to war with Germany unless the German Fleet took the
action indicated,
but it did give a security to France that would enable her to settle the
disposition of her own Mediterranean Fleet.’
The disposition of the Mediterranean Fleet had, in fact, been settled in 1912.
This was clearly just another example of Grey’s strategic ignorance — or was
it? It continued to suit Grey to deny any awareness of what had been decided by
the military and naval planners. Grey would also claim that the German
Government was made aware of the pledge; in fact, Grey was determined to conceal this fact until the afternoon of
Monday, 3 August. For Cambon, when he
was informed of the pledge, the feeling was similar to that which would be
experienced by Churchill twenty-seven years later when news was brought to him
of the Japanese attack at Pearl Harbor. ‘So we had won after all!’ was
Churchill’s immediate response in December 1941.
In August 1914 Cambon also knew precisely what Grey’s declaration meant:
‘The game was won’, he subsequently stated. ‘A great country does not make
war by halves.’
What
led to the giving of this pledge? Was there an obligation on Britain’s part,
or merely a commitment, moral or otherwise, to intervene in certain
circumstances? Grey was to insist in his memoirs that the promise to the French
‘did not pledge us to war.’ The Foreign Secretary was, however, wrong —
once the promise was made, as Cambon appreciated, British entry into the war was
certain. Despite this, a group within the Cabinet would then spend the remainder
of the afternoon and evening of Sunday 2 August desperately searching for an
issue around which they could group, and which would provide a more convenient
excuse for British entry into the war than one based upon a moral commitment to
France, of which the public was generally unaware; that excuse was to be Belgian
neutrality. However, despite
protestations to the contrary, the issue of Belgian neutrality was a blind: it
was used to assuage consciences and to prevent the formation of a coalition
Government but it was not crucial to the British decision for intervention.
In
what follows I will attempt to show that two circumstances and one overriding
fact guaranteed British entry in the war in August 1914: the two circumstances
were the secret Anglo-French military and naval conversations, and the naval
position in the Mediterranean. The overriding fact was the consideration of British
interests. The problem of contending with the superior numbers of the German
Army was not going to be solved immediately by French planners merely by the
dispatch of a British Expeditionary Force. Yet the French realized that if one
British soldier set foot on French soil, others would follow. Indeed, so
confident were they that there was no attempt made to conceal the intention. For
example, General Sir Henry Wilson spent the afternoon of 14 January 1910 at the École Supérieure de Guerre being lectured by General Foch on the
functioning of the college. With the lecture completed, Wilson and Foch then
‘talked at great length of our combined action in Belgium’ in the event of a
war with Germany. ‘What’, Wilson inquired of Foch, ‘would you say was the
smallest British military force that would be of an practical assistance to you
in the event of a contest such as we have been considering?’ Foch did not
hesitate: ‘One single private soldier’, he replied instantly, ‘and we
would take good care that he was killed.’
Furthermore, with British military support assured, France could then count upon
the full might of the Royal Navy.
With
British command of the Mediterranean in doubt, the French, similarly
over-extended, were unable to protect both their Atlantic and Mediterranean
coastlines. From strategic necessity came political expediency. The convergence
of British and French interests, which had commenced with the signing of the
Entente Cordiale in 1904, had continued gradually until 1911, after which it
accelerated. By 1914 British and French interests were inseparable. Although,
between 1906 and 1911, the main push for closer Anglo-French military
co-operation was provided by the French (Cambon would become a familiar sight at
the Foreign Office in times of crisis), a change was evident from 1911 following
the most serious of the many pre-war crises, when a German gunboat was
dispatched to the sleepy African port of Agadir. In 1906, in the aftermath of
the First Moroccan Crisis, the German naval challenge, which had not yet made
any serious inroads, was dealt a huge blow by the launch of HMS Dreadnought.
‘We can protect ourselves of course,’ Grey declared emphatically at the
time, ‘for we are more supreme at sea than we have ever been.’
By 1911, and the Second Moroccan Crisis, the Cabinet had already weathered a
first class naval scare when, in 1909, it was thought, erroneously, that Germany
would achieve parity with the Royal Navy in dreadnoughts within a matter of
years. ‘Splendid isolation’ was no longer a feasible option. The consistent
theme running through the deliberations in London in the wake of the Agadir
crisis was fear of French weakness and how this would impact upon the British
position. This would not have mattered so much had the Royal Navy maintained its
earlier lead over the German High Seas Fleet. Following the very real scare, the
conclusion to be drawn from the 1911 crisis was obvious to some: the Entente had
outlived its usefulness; it was time to replace it with an alliance. But the
Cabinet could not bring itself to accept this conclusion; heads remained buried
in the sand.
When war erupted on
the Continent in the summer of 1914 the Cabinet suddenly had to ask itself some
searching questions — questions which should have been posed years previously.
Was there at the very least on the British side a moral commitment to France? If
so, could the Cabinet have refused to honour it? Did this commitment (whether
moral or not) entail an obligation? Was the unwritten pledge to France to be the
sole determinant of British intervention in the war or was the consideration of
British interests to be paramount? Did the two in fact coincide? As the great
Continental armies mobilized, the Cabinet deliberated, at once destroying Henry
Wilson’s scheme for simultaneous Anglo-French mobilization. To the Cabinet
debates must be added some further, more speculative, queries: Realistically,
could Britain have remained out of the war? If the commitment had
been formalized, and replaced by a specific obligation, would the same decisions
have been taken in the last week of July 1914? Was the outcome of the British
refusal to conduct military conversations openly with the French a lack of
British influence upon French war planning, with the result that the disastrous
French Plan XVII went unchallenged? Could the Cabinet have prevented Britain’s
entry into the war or, with the unrelenting pressure of ‘events’, could they
have done no more than to prevent the formation of a coalition Government? What
bearing did operational orders issued unilaterally by Churchill and the
Admiralty in the final days of peace have on Cabinet deliberations?
But the questions do
not end there — how had this situation arisen in the first place? Symptomatic
of the Liberal administration from 1906 to 1914 was its ambivalent attitude,
with certain key exceptions (principally Churchill and Haldane), to the overall
issue of defence. This same attitude explains in part Grey’s hesitancy in
divulging the opening of Anglo-French military conversations. In the political
culture of the day, the General Staff and Admiralty were given a free hand —
too free a hand — in the belief that they knew best. Exacerbating this, in so
far as the Admiralty was concerned, was the genuine sense of awe in which Fisher
was held. This allowed his malign influence in the question of a Naval War Staff
and his refusal to co-operate with the War Office on joint planning to go
unchecked. In view of Fisher’s early pronouncements in favour of a Naval War
Staff, what explains his subsequent antipathy? Fisher’s legacy was to be a
distinctly unhelpful one. With serious naval war planning virtually
non-existent, the strategic impetus shifted by default to the War Office. Would
the General Staff have won the battle in the C.I.D. on 23 August 1911 quite so
easily had the First Sea Lords been Fisher since 1904 and then Wilson since
1910? These faults could have been put right following Churchill’s transfer to
the Admiralty in 1911; however, Churchill had faults of his own.
Naval policy, which
could have been simplified if a formal Anglo-French convention had been
concluded, was instead complicated by the conditional nature of joint planning,
by the emergence of new challenges, and by the financial priorities of the
Liberal administration. The response was to be decidedly ad
hoc, so that the Government reacted to events and not in anticipation of
them — this helps to explain the numerous defence scares which punctuated the
political scene. Furthermore, without a Naval War Staff before 1912, and then
with an emasculated one until the outbreak of war, there was no systematic
approach to the problem of overstretch. So, was the stationing of the battle
cruisers at Malta after 1912 an inspired compromise or an admission that these
ships had no part to play in the North Sea? Was the 1909 German dreadnought
scare a ploy to prod an administration perceived as financially stringent and
intent on diverting funds to social causes? Were the Anglo-German naval talks of
1912 bound to fail in the face of German and British suspicion and French unease
and pressure? What was the rationale behind the Austro-Hungarian dreadnought
building programme? Was Churchill correct in his assertion that the French and
British moves into and out of the Mediterranean were made independently of each
other? What effect did the German spy in the Russian Embassy in London have on
naval planning in Berlin? Was there, as Nicholas Lambert asserts, a secret
policy of ‘substitution’ in place at the outbreak of the war by which
dreadnought construction would give way to an increased number of submarines?
Indeed,
Lambert goes further, and argues the case for a
‘major revision of our understanding of pre-1914 British naval
policy.’ Basing this finding on his own research and that of Jon Sumida,
Lambert claims that ‘the strategic thought of Britain’s naval leadership has
been fundamentally misrepresented. In addition, a reappraisal of naval thinking
is almost certain to produce significant changes in the understanding of British
defense policy before the First World War. There must be serious doubts over not
only the accuracy of the currently accepted historical narrative but also the
methodology used to produce it.’
Was the substitution policy, if it can be dignified by that name, a
genuine shift in tactics or merely a possible reaction to British dreadnought
preponderance in the North Sea? Is Lambert’s contention supported by the
evidence? Although he used the excuse of increased Italian and Austrian building
to help justify an increase in the Naval Estimates, what was Churchill’s own
view of the Mediterranean situation? If answers can be provided to these
questions, it may then be possible to decide whether British interests in the
Mediterranean were capable of being safeguarded adequately, or whether, by
virtue of the obligations it entailed and the threats posed elsewhere,
Britain’s continuing presence in the Middle Sea was, in the words of a noted
nineteenth writer on naval affairs, a ‘Millstone Round the Neck of England’.
|